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New research suggests a fundamental change in employment prospects as higher skilled, education and healthcare roles offset the millions of jobs likely to be displaced due to the application of new technologies such as automation and artificial intelligence by 2035.

The projections are made in a paper analysing structural changes taking place in the UK economy. The study lays out implications for the labour market and the occupational structure of employment over the period to 2035. The projections focus on long-term structural trends such as demographics, economic change and automation, rather than short-term impacts on the labour market and future skills needs.

The research, carried out by the University of Warwick’s Institute for Employment Research, working in collaboration with Cambridge Econometrics, is part of a wider research programme led by the National Foundation for Educational Research (NFER).

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