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The 2022 admissions cycle feels almost like a return to normal following two years of disruption, with students having sat exams across the UK once again.

However, this cycle is undoubtedly more competitive than those of recent years –and in future cycles, that competitiveness is set to increase.

There are three key reasons for this. First, grade outcomes are likely to be higher than in 2019 (although lower than in 2021). Second, we have a record number of 18-year-olds from the UK, plus international applicants applying via Ucas. Third, the rate of demand for higher education from 18-year-olds in the UK is increasing.

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