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In all, A level results are closer to 2021 than 2019.

The narrative has certainly been otherwise, and we’ve seen all kinds of dire predictions. But now we have the data.

A level results – UK

The thing that stands out is how wildly different 2021 was from 2019. The 2022 results do split the difference, but with the difference between 2019 and 2021 often approaching 20 percentage points for students getting grade A and above, there is a lot of difference to split.

It’s best illustrated by seeing two scatter plots side by side. You can see how the line of best fit is under x=y (what it would be if the two years were the same) for 2022 against 2021, but quite a long way above x=y for 2022 against 2019.

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