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Ithink we all look forward to UCAS end of cycle provider level data day more each year.

As a view into the recruitment successes and struggles that play out in every part of the sector it is unsurpassed.

And, more so in 2022 than ever, there are fascinating questions about the strategies and situations within providers that we can begin to trace using this information.

Central to this cycle has been the question of capacity. After a decade of growth (in England and Wales, at least) without limits there is a sense that the combination of two years of higher-than-expected grades and the falling value of the unit of resource (the amount of money – in real terms – available per student) has established what could be described as de-facto number controls in some popular courses at popular providers.

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