This research examines the forecasted impacts and costs of different levels of pay and financial incentives on teacher supply in England.
The project, funded by the Gatsby Foundation, uses a forecast and simulation model developed by NFER to predict the impact of different pay and financial incentive policy options on the recruitment and retention of teachers between 2023/24 to 2027/28.
The research suggests a new long-term strategy is required to improve recruitment and retention, based on continually improving the competitiveness of teacher pay, well-targeted financial incentives, alongside action to improve the non-financial attractiveness of teaching.