The Government is expected to imminently publish the School Teachers’ Review Body’s (STRB) recommendations for teacher pay increases in 2023/24, along with its decision about the pay award. Teaching union ballots about further strikes over the coming weeks will be one consideration for the Government, but a central concern should be addressing the current teacher shortages.
As the general election approaches, the political parties must therefore also look for an approach to pay and financial incentives which addresses teacher shortages in key subjects in the longer-term.
In a new NFER report, funded by the Gatsby Foundation, we have used our teacher supply forecasting model to assess the costs and impacts on teacher recruitment and retention of different policy options on pay and financial incentives over forthcoming years.
Our analysis suggests that whatever pay award is made for September, the current major supply challenges are highly likely to continue without further action to increase the attractiveness of teaching.
