The Timpson Review of 2019 identified a number of risk factors of permanent exclusion.
These included some types of special educational needs (SEN), being a boy, being disadvantaged and a history of involvement with social services.
We subsequently updated this work using more recent data, identifying additional factors including a history of SEN and low levels of early literacy (at Key Stage 1).
In this article, fft education datalab expands upon this work by tracking a single cohort from the end of primary school to the end of secondary school.