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Tomorrow is A-Level results day. More eagerly anticipated than ever, perhaps, as results have been determined by external exams for the first time in three years. Here’s what to expect.

Grades will be lower than 2021 and 2020, but higher than 2019

Ofqual had a big decision to make earlier this year. After two years of higher than usual grades, they announced that 2022’s grades would “reflect a midway point between summer 2019 and 2021”. In practice, this means that grades this year will be lower than for either of the previous two pandemic-affected cohorts, but higher than those pre-pandemic.

The impact will be most noticeable on top grades. The percentage of grades awarded an A* or an A rose from 25.5% in 2019 (pre-pandemic) to 44.8% last year. So we can expect a drop of around ten percentage points this year.

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