Steve Besley's Education Eye: week ending 26 April 2024

Welcome to Education Eye, a regular update detailing the policies and stories happening in UK education, compiled by Steve Besley.

What's happened this week?

Important stories across the board:

Some important reports this week.

Four in particular. Two concerning schools and two wider government education policy.  

The two of direct interest to schools, starting with the government’s response to the Education Committee’s Inquiry into Ofsted’s work with schools, which was published this week. 

It’s come at a delicate time for school inspections and the mood has not been lifted by the government’s continued commitment to the use of single-word judgements such as ‘outstanding’ or ‘inadequate’. 

'A source of sky-high stress and anxiety, damaging the wellbeing of leaders and teachers, sapping morale and causing many people to leave the profession', according to the Association of School and College leaders (ASCL). 'A succinct and accessible summary for parents', according to the government’s response. It’s no wonder the issue remained one of the big discussion points during the Inquiry and looks like remaining so now, particularly given the tragic consequences surrounding it. 

The Education Committee in its report earlier this year had called for the DfE and Ofsted 'to work together as a priority to develop an alternative to the current single-word overall judgement that better captures the complex nature of a school’s performance'.

In its response, the government said ‘it would rather look at ways to improve the current system than in developing alternatives to it’. 

There are plenty of other issues in the report on matters like the frequency of inspections, support for school leaders, and safeguarding, but it’s the fraught question of single-word judgements that remains the bone of contention. Much may now hinge on what comes out of Ofsted’s ‘Big Listen’ exercise which closes at the end of next month. 

The second major report out this week, and of particular interest to schools, takes us back to post-Covid recovery and the range of challenges that remain here. 

In a new Nuffield-funded study, researchers evidenced what they called ‘a double whammy to the educational progress of successive Covid cohorts’. “They are on course,” it argued, “for the biggest overall decline in basic GCSE achievement for at least two decades, and an unprecedented widening of the socioeconomic gap in GCSE prospects. This will impact on children taking GCSEs well into the 2030s.” 

Earlier research had suggested that learning loss from Covid amounted to some six months – eight months in the case of the more disadvantaged. There’s also the issue of the decline in socio-emotional skills which the report believes remains a major challenge. 

The study called for a national programme to measure pupils’ wellbeing and a national programme of trained undergraduate tutors to help pupils develop foundation skills. And, just as importantly, the report reminds us that many of the issues arising out of Covid for young people have not gone away.

Next a brief word on those two government facing reports.

The first came from the National Audit Office (NAO) which reported on preparations for the further rollout of the government’s childcare plans.

It concluded that 'significant uncertainties remain around whether the sector can implement the changes and be financially sustainable'. The issue is whether there’ll be enough qualified staff and thereby places to meet demand.  

The report came as the Education Under-Secretary updated MPs on what he claimed was “the successful first stage of the largest ever expansion of childcare in England’s history”.

 He argued that “since the expansion for April, no local authority is reporting that it does not have sufficient places. We will now work with them on the next stage of that expansion for September”. 

That work may well be crucial, with the NAO recommending the government set interim milestones and planning contingencies, given what it called ‘the challenging timetable’. The Early Years Alliance said it shared the NAO’s concerns.

The second report came from the ever-busy Public Accounts Committee which has been delving into the fractious issue of franchised provision in higher education.

It found, in its words, a lack of regulatory oversight, pointing to over £2m worth of fraud in the system last year. And concluded rather expansively that the system was 'open to exploitation to systematic and organised fraud and abuse'. 

It made a number of recommendations, including ensuring providers publish summaries of their franchised agreements – including how much of the money they’re hanging on to – as well as a rather bland call for the department to set out how it intended to strengthen its oversight. 

As Wonkhe’s David Kernohan put it, the report makes all the right noises, but is unlikely to shift the dial.

In other Westminster snippets this week, the Education Secretary met with the British Chambers of Commerce to discuss skills and labour shortages, and the deputy PM hosted a meeting with university leaders to discuss sector international security, with China on many minds. A consultation is promised.

Elsewhere, Rob Halfon, Charles Clarke, and Lord Layard appeared before the Lords Industry and Regulators Committee, discussing skills, apprenticeships, funding and more. The Committee went on to announce a new inquiry into skills policy, particularly around apprenticeships and training. 

And also launching a new Inquiry was the Education Committee, which announced it intended to look into why boys consistently underperform compared to girls when it comes to education. “My Committee wants to find out why it is that boys have historically underperformed compared with girls”, the Committee chair explained.

In other news for schools this week, both Ofsted and Ofqual posted position statements on AI following a call from government earlier this year. 

Ofqual, which has already done work with awarding organisations on the matter and is working on further guidance, said it was adopting a ‘precautionary’ approach. It doesn’t see AI as a sole remote invigilator or sole marker of student work – at least not yet.  

As for Osted, which already uses AI 'to make best use of the information we hold', it confirmed it was working in accordance with the five principles set out in the government’s regulation white paper. It won’t directly inspect the quality of any AI tools used by a provider, but would support any use that helps improve provision and would train inspectors accordingly.  

Ofqual also reported a broad thumbs up this week for the qualification system as it published its latest ‘Perceptions into Qualifications’ report. Most respondents saw qualifications such as GCSEs and A levels as valuable and a good preparation for further study. The use of onscreen exams continues, however, to provoke mixed views. 'Roughly equal proportions of respondents agreed (34%) and disagreed (31%) that onscreen examinations in GCSE and A level qualifications would be fairer for students than existing pen and paper examinations'.

Elsewhere in schools this week, the government announced incentive funds for teachers in some shortage subjects. ‘Tinkering around with recruitment and retention schemes’ and not addressing the wider problems of teacher recruitment, according to the NAHT. 

The Children and Young People’s Mental Health Coalition argued that the reasons behind pupils missing school can often be complex and 'cannot be viewed through a single lens'. ASCL agreed and reinforced the call for better mental support. 'Fixing the special needs system and ensuring mental health provision is widely available must be prioritised in order to improve school attendance'. 

And the Education Endowment Foundation published a new guide for effective implementation of change in schools highlighting the importance of behaviours, contextual factors and flexible processes. As chief executive Becky Francis explained: "do fewer things better by carefully selecting and embedding evidence-informed approaches".

In FE, the government published its latest Action Plan for T levels with accompanying learner data. 

From this September, 21 T levels will be on offer and the minister used his Foreword to the Plan to claim that ‘they are fast becoming a route to success for young people’.  They’re currently being taken by just over 16,000 learners, and the fit with BTECs and the Advanced British Standard (ABS) remains crucial. 

And talking of the ABS, the Edge Foundation held an important session this week looking into the extent of public support for a British Bacc for 16–18-year-olds. In line with recent surveys it found widespread support for a greater focus in schools and colleges ‘on developing essential skills for life and work’ for young people and some 68% in favour of something like the PM’s proposed ABS.

In HE this week, HEPI director Nick Hillman examined university student drop-out rates. "Endlessly discussed but poorly understood", he felt. The Times Higher reported on the growing number of institutions making redundancies as purse strings tightened. It reckoned it was now over 50. The President of the British Academy said it wasn’t football that needed an independent regulator but UK higher education. 

And JISC blogged about the use of generative AI in assessment taking a ‘snog, marry, avoid’ approach or in their words ‘avoid, outrun, embrace’. 

Its conclusion was to favour the embrace approach because 'it aligns most closely with preparing students for a future where generative AI is not just a tool, but a fundamental aspect of the workforce'.

Links to most of these stories below starting with the week’s headlines.

The top headlines of the week:

  • ‘BBC to invest in AI to help transform its education services’ (Monday).
  • ‘Most schools train leaders to tackle rising parental complaints’ (Tuesday).
  • ‘Pupils in England facing ‘worst exam results in decades’ after Covid closures’ (Wednesday).
  • ‘One-word Ofsted grades should stay, says government’ (Thursday).
  • ‘Foreign states targeting sensitive research at UK universities, M15 warns’ (Friday).

General:

  • Committee Inquiry. The Education Committee announced a new Inquiry to examine why boys consistently underperform compared with girls when it comes to education performance, looking at why this might be so and what could be done to remedy things, calling for evidence to be submitted by 17 May.
  • DSIT developments. The Dept for Science, Innovation and Technology (DSIT) announced the appointment of a number of leading figures to its leadership team and Dept Board as it part of its plans ‘to transform the UK into a science and technology superpower.’ 
  • Recruitment. The British Chambers of Commerce reported that recruitment had eased for many businesses in its latest quarterly outlook although production, manufacturing and hospitality still faced difficulties and finding people with the right skills remained an issue for many. 
  • Childcare. The National Audit Office (NAO) reported on the rollout of the government’s ‘ambitious’ child care plans acknowledging that while the milestone for the initial launch this month had been met, the demand for qualified staffing would be a major issue as the programme rolled out, leading to concerns about whether there’ll be enough places as promised.
  • Children’s Rights. The EU Commission set out its Strategy on the Rights of the Child along with a Children’s Guarantee aimed at protecting children, ensuring they can live free from discrimination and intimidation, and are supported in breaking the cycle of poverty and social exclusion.

More specifically ...

Schools:

  • Government response. The government issued its response to the Education Committee’s recent report into the work of Ofsted with schools, acknowledging some of the issues but provoking criticism by committing to stick with single-word judgements and refusing to reduce the frequency of inspections.
  • Covid impact. Researchers in a new Nuffield funded study highlighted what they called ‘the devastating damage’ wrought by the Covid pandemic on the educational and social prospects of young people affected, suggesting many will struggle to attain five good GCSEs and attainment gaps will widen, calling among other things for an enrichment guarantee and national programme of support.
  • Ofqual’s approach to AI. Ofqual set out its approach to regulating the use of AI in the qualifications industry, taking what it called a ‘precautionary’ approach of working closely with awarding organisations to guard against malpractice while remaining open to compliant innovation as the technology develops. 
  • Ofsted’s approach to AI. Ofsted equally set out its approach to AI both in its own use and by those it inspects, confirming that in both regards it would follow the five principles listed in the overall AI regulation white paper covering matters like security, fairness and accountability, and that like Ofqual, it would continue to ‘build its understanding’ as the technology develops.
  • Qualification perceptions. Ofqual published its latest annual YouGov survey into perceptions of leading qualifications including GCSEs, A levels and Applied Qualifications, with so-called composite confidence in all three qualification types in terms of preparation for further study, marking accuracy and value for money remaining strong but with mixed views about onscreen exams.
  • Missing pupils. The Children and Young People’s Mental Health Coalition examined the growing issue of pupils missing school, recognising some of the current initiatives, but arguing that the ‘barriers’ to school attendance can be complex and calling for better understanding and mental health support.
  • Effective implementation. The Education Endowment Foundation published new guidance for schools on managing effective implementation of change, stressing the importance of behaviours, context and structure, and how these can be used to organise implementation into manageable chunks.
  • Wider skills. Public First and the Kialo platform reported on their research into perceptions of critical thinking and oracy, finding parents keen to see such skills developed in schools as a way of helping prepare young people for adult life. 

FE/Skills:

  • T levels. The government published an updated T Level Action Plan spelling out the latest and planned developments around industry placements, recruitment and promotion and teacher support – including 'route by route' reviews of content and assessment as numbers remain low, and coupling the Plan with an analytical annexe setting out current data on learner characteristics, pathways and outcomes.
  • First T Level cohort. The government published a commissioned report looking into how the first T Level cohort of some 1,250 learners who started in September 2020 fared, finding most positive about the experience and able to progress as hoped for, with the industry placement the most popular aspect of the course.
  • Incentive payments. The government announced the arrangements for the expansion of ‘incentive’ premium payments for eligible FE teachers from this autumn, where up to £6,000 will be available for teachers working in areas such as building, early years, maths and physics. 
  • A 16-18 Bacc. The Edge Foundation published its survey report into attitudes towards a British Bacc for 16–18-year-olds, finding growing support for a framework that could support the development of relevant skills for young people and allow for a mix and match of academic and technical qualifications. 
  • Skills Inquiry. The Lords Industry and Regulators Committee announced a new Inquiry into skills policy, looking in particular at apprenticeships and training in terms of future skill needs for the UK economy. 
  • Skills forecasting. The government published a commissioned report into skills forecasting and analysis concluding that given the wide range of different user needs from central planners to qualification designers, ‘no single method will suit all’ but there are some general principles such as sense checking and ‘tailoring complexity to purpose’ that could help strengthen the outputs.
  • FE in Wales. CollegesWales, the body that speaks for FE in Wales, examined the social value of colleges in Wales in a new report, highlighting ways in which colleges help meet the seven wellbeing goals of the Future Generations (Wales) Act and setting out a number of recommendations to help scale up their impact.
  • Business Plan. The CITB published its Business Plan for the construction industry for 2024/25 setting out three ‘pillars’ around skills and training all aimed at ensuring a skilled and inclusive workforce for the sector both now and in the future. 
  • Young talent.The OU published the results of a survey into young people’s changing expectations of the workplace ahead of an event on the topic next month, reporting flexi and hybrid work along with short courses and mentoring as priorities for young people, and concerns about skills, following a drop in work experience due to the pandemic, as a worry from employers.

HE:

  • Franchised provision. The Public Accounts Committee called on the DfE and OfS to establish clearer requirements and oversight of franchised agreements in areas like fee retention and quality provision, as it published a report highlighting vulnerabilities in such provision.
  • Drop-out rates. Nick Hillman, director of the HE Policy Institute (HEPI) examined university drop-out rates in a new briefing arguing that although we have one of the lowest rates among developed countries with much depending on an individual’s characteristics, it’s an area that politicians often return to, calling as a result for better use of data, student matching and use of staging posts. 
  • Graduate employment. The Institute of Student Employers published (members only) its latest annual report into graduate employment covering hiring and progression trends, AI, skill matching and apprenticeships and showing pay and flexi working as key factors as graduates weigh up options.
  • Scaling back. The Times Higher reported on the current wave of redundancies and restructuring sweeping higher education indicating that some 50+ institutions are now cutting jobs with concerns growing about the long-term impact on the sector.
  • In need of a regulator. Professor Jula Black, President of the British Academy, reflected in a blog on the parlous state of UKHE and in particular issues over funding, course closures and policy perceptions, calling for a clear independent regulator to help secure the future.
  • AI platform. The global tutoring platform, GoStudent, announced the launch of a new AI driven learning platform with access to an AI tutor and content and available for a monthly fee.

Tweets and posts of note:

  • “Demand is currently outstripping supply, but I am proud of everything this Government has done to boost to uptake of apprenticeships. From £50 million to increase apprenticeships in growth sectors, £60 million for SMEs to hire and train more apprentices and £40 million to support”. | @halfon4harlowMP
  • “I think one of the problems with the current debate is that it suggests we need reasons and evidence to ban phones in schools when actually we need reasons and evidence to let them in. The burden of proof is all the wrong way round”. | @daisychristo
  • “We need a ranking of worst ‘all parent’ school email titles. 1. Nits 2. world book day 3. whooping cough (todays) Any more?”. | @Josephineperry
  • “Don't want to alarm you but this evening one of my daughters did the thing I asked her to do to at the first time of asking. I'm calling it the April Miracle”. | @Ed_Dorrell
  • “My favourite joke of the day. What happened to the world’s laziest teacher? They were buried in an unmarked grave”. | @agittner

A selection of quotes that merit attention:

  • “A back door into the student loan system for organised fraudsters has been left hanging wide open here by the lack of oversight by government” – the Public Accounts Committee reports on franchised provision.
  • “The next phase of the reforms will be significantly more challenging, with little contingency and flexibility in its ambitious timetable” – the NAO with some warning words for the government on the rollout of its childcare plans.
  • “Hard to guarantee” – the Education Secretary on how far the government will be able to fully fund a teacher’s pay rise this year.
  • “This is grossly unfair and there will be a lot of staff at ITPs upset at losing out; quite frankly, it’s a kick in the teeth for those working outside the college or school system” – the AELP blast the decision to exclude independent training providers (ITPs) from the latest teachers’ premium payments.
  • “We also maintain that a more nuanced version of this system is both achievable and in everyone’s interests. We look forward to probing the Department for more detail on any possible changes it may be considering” – The Education Committee urges the government to keep discussions going about single-word inspection judgements.
  • “Critically, we will never allow AI to impede our ability to inspect fairly and impartially” – Ofsted sets out its position on the use of AI.
  • “We don’t need to spook the profession by upending everything’ – Geoff Barton’s advice to the next government in an interview with the TES.
  • “Like King Canute, we cannot push back the waves of mobile-phone use” – a journalist/teacher reflects on the current debate around mobile phones in schools.
  • “Not all parents have the competence to learn mathematics, chemistry and physics with their children” – Poland scraps compulsory homework for primary schools.
  • “They most certainly, at the very least, need to know how to sign their name'’ – America worries about the loss of handwriting in schools.

Important numbers

Not-to-be-missed numbers of the week:

  • 37%. The number of people in a survey who think local government should have more power and resources to resolve local issues, according to a report from the New Economics Foundation.
  • 37%. The number of people surveyed who reckon someone leaving education now is worse prepared for the workplace than someone leaving 20 years ago, according to a report from Edge.
  • £2.2m. The amount of fraud detected in the HE franchised system last year, according to a Public Accounts Committee report.
  • 16,085. The number of T level entrants in the current academic year, according to latest government figures.
  • 9.1%. The fall in the number of 16–19-year-olds progressing over last year to a L2 in English/maths at age 19 having failed at age 16, according to latest government figures.
  • 60%. The number of parents surveyed who believe that improving children’s communication skills is one of the most important things schools should provide, according to research from Public First and Kialo.
  • 40,000. The number of extra fulltime nursey staff needed for the full rollout of the government’s childcare plans, accorded to DfE figures quoted in a report by the NAO. 
  • 35%. The number of boys who have tried alcohol by age 11, up from 23% 5 years ago with 34% for girls up from 17%, according to latest WHO statistics.
  • 35. The age at which some tech companies in China are removing staff for being too old, according to a report in the FT.

Everything else you need to know ...

What to look out for next week:

  • MPs’ Education Questions (Monday 29 April).
  • QAA’s Assessment Festival (Monday 29 April – Friday 03 May).
  • Education Committee evidence session on children’s social care (Tuesday 30 April).
  • Policy Exchange event on the Launch of ‘The Anxious Generation’ (Tuesday 30 April).
  • Policy Connect and HE Commission report on ‘Digitally Enhanced Blended Learning in HE’ (Tuesday 30 April).
  • Schools Attendance (Duties of Local Authorities and Proprietors of Schools) Bill debate (Wednesday 01 May).
  • Schools and Academies Show (Wednesday 01 May).
  • Mayoral and local elections (Thursday 02 May).

Other stories

  • Children and social media. Last week’s Ofcom report on children’s use of social media provoked some intense media coverage. Children getting their own smartphone when they were nine or ten, and in a few cases when they were three or four, spending six, seven, eight hours a day on it and so on. The report is based on a longitudinal survey of a small group of 8-17-year-olds and this was the tenth year of the study. It’s interesting to see how things have changed over the ten years. TikTok has now become the dominant medium, social media is now less social and more visual “created by someone with the deliberate goal of capturing attention and, sadly, although the children say they enjoy the content they’re watching, it doesn’t often meet their needs. “Some tell us they are often lonely, bored or anxious.” A link to the full report can be found here
  • Working more than 9-5. According to a new survey from the charitable social enterprise, Better, “the average person in the UK works nearly two hours a week more than they should, and a worrying one in eight people works an extra four hours a week beyond their scheduled hours”. Exactly. Unsurprisingly, a lot of them (68%) struggle to switch off in the evenings, and stress and poor work-life balance feature highly among the reasons why people want to leave their jobs. Younger, Gen Z, workers it seems do more overtime than most at two hours nine minutes a week and education features prominently as a sector where overtime, much of it unpaid, features prominently. The survey comes as the issue of welfare at work becomes increasingly important, the findings can be found here

You can sign up here to receive Education Eye straight to your inbox on publication.

If you find my policy updates useful, please consider donating something, however small, to help support its publication. EdCentral is a not-for-profit social enterprise and relies on donations to continue its work.

Steve Besley

Disclaimer: Education Eye is intended to help colleagues keep up to date with national developments in the education sector. Information is correct at the time of writing and is offered in good faith. No liability is accepted by Steve Besley or EdCentral for decisions made on the basis of any information provided.

EdCentral Logo